BGA Korea Managing Director B.J. Kim wrote an update to clients on the Constitutional Court’s removal of President Yoon Suk-yeol from office.

Context

  • One hundred eleven days after Korea’s National Assembly passed the motion to impeach President Yoon, the Constitutional Court unanimously upheld Yoon’s impeachment and ended his presidency on the morning of April 4, Korea time. It marked the longest constitutional deliberation in Korean history.
  • Under Article 68(2) of the constitution, a new presidential election must be held within 60 days after the abrupt ending of the government, as happened in this case. This makes early June the most likely timeframe for the voting.

Significance

  • Yoon’s impeachment has deepened Korea’s political divide. The intensifying ideological battle between conservative and progressive factions will likely fuel an increasingly volatile electoral process, with aggressive rhetoric and polarization dominating the campaign.
  • Should the Democratic Party (DP) maintain its current lead and win the presidential election, changes in policy directions may materialize. A DP-led government would likely seek to reverse or significantly modify policies implemented under Yoon’s administration. With minimal legislative checks, the DP — controlling both the legislature and the executive government — may be able to push these policies with little opposition scrutiny, raising concerns about executive overreach and potential accusations of “imperial presidency” dynamics, political themes familiar to the Korean public.

Implications

  • The next administration is expected to reassess ties with the United States and China, especially in trade, technology and security. The DP has advocated closer ties with China and criticized Yoon’s cooperation with the administration of former U.S. President Joe Biden and the government of Japan. In addition, a leadership change could shift defense policy and inter-Korean relations. Engagement with Pyongyang may replace the outgoing administration’s hardline approach, though progress will depend on North Korea’s actions.
  • Economic policy debates will likely focus on pension reform, labor reform, welfare expansion and shareholder rights enhancement. Sharp partisan divides will shape proposals on fiscal priorities and social equity.

We will continue to keep you updated on Korea’s political developments as they occur. If you have any questions or comments, please contact BGA Korea Managing Director B.J. Kim at bjkim@bowergroupasia.com.

Best regards,

BGA Korea Team